The Tightrope Economy: Pakistan Between External Shock, IMF Discipline, and a Narrowing Growth Path
Pakistan’s economy enters a constrained phase under IMF discipline as rising oil prices, inflation pressures, and external vulnerabilities narrow the country’s growth path and policy flexibility.
Pakistan’s Economy Set for Up to 4.75% Growth in FY26, SBP Signals Recovery Across Key Sectors
State Bank of Pakistan raises FY26 growth forecast to 3.75–4.75%, highlighting stronger domestic demand, resilient agriculture, and manufacturing gains, amid easing financial conditions and IMF program support.
Agriculture Income Tax Faces Political Roadblocks Despite IMF Conditions
Pakistan’s provinces have set unrealistically low targets for agriculture income tax despite IMF conditions. Experts argue that political resistance, constitutional hurdles, and elite capture are undermining revenue potential estimated at up to Rs. 500 billion.

