Pakistan Economic Outlook 2026 Resilience Amid Global Energy Volatility and Geopolitical Risks
Pakistan maintains a cautiously optimistic economic outlook for March 2026 with industrial momentum and strong remittances offsetting global energy supply shocks.
Pakistan Keeps Policy Rate at 10.5% as Oil Shock and Middle East War Cloud Economic Outlook
Pakistan’s central bank maintains the policy rate at 10.5% despite rising inflation and oil prices triggered by the Middle East conflict, raising questions about the country’s economic outlook and monetary strategy.
Pakistan Starts IMF Reviews Under EFF and RSF to Unlock $1.2 Billion Funding
Pakistan initiated IMF reviews under the EFF and RSF, assessing fiscal targets, energy reforms, tax collection, and governance to secure $1.2 billion in international funding.
Pakistan Economic Outlook Stays Positive with Industrial Recovery and Stable Inflation
Pakistan’s economic outlook remains positive, supported by industrial growth, moderate inflation, steady external balance, and continued fiscal consolidation backed by reforms and digitalization.
Pakistan Sees Surge in Social Welfare Spending and Worker Migration Amid Economic Stability
Pakistan reports significant growth in social welfare disbursements and overseas employment during FY2026, reflecting the government’s continued focus on poverty alleviation and expanding labor mobility. These measures support economic resilience amid mixed crop outlooks and inflationary pressures.
Pakistan Adds Rs162 Billion in Weekly Borrowing as Fiscal Pressures Intensify
Pakistan’s government recorded Rs162 billion in additional borrowing in a single week, pushing cumulative fiscal year figures and highlighting ongoing pressure on budgetary financing needs.
Pakistan Manufacturing PMI Falls Below 50 in September Amid Flood-Driven Disruptions
Pakistan’s manufacturing sector contracts for the first time since May 2024, with the HBL PMI falling to 48.0 in September due to flood-related disruptions, higher costs, and reduced orders, though optimism for future growth remains.
Pakistan and IMF begin talks on $7bn Extended Fund Facility and RSF reviews
Pakistan and the IMF have opened talks on the $7 billion Extended Fund Facility (EFF) and Resilience and Sustainability Facility (RSF) reviews, focusing on fiscal performance, governance reforms, and anti-money laundering measures.
Pakistan’s Fiscal Discipline Strengthens as Primary Balance Hits 24-Year High
Pakistan’s fiscal position strengthened in FY2025 with the lowest deficit in eight years and a 24-year high primary surplus, as improved revenue collection and disciplined spending set the stage for FY2026.
Pakistan’s Forex Reserves Edge Up to $14.30 Billion Amid Stable Inflows
Pakistan’s foreign exchange reserves held by the SBP rose by $28 million to $14.30 billion as of August 29, 2025, reflecting stable inflows and cautious management. Total liquid reserves stood at $19.66 billion, with commercial banks holding $5.36 billion.